Russian Abstract: В данном исследовании проводится анализ предсказательной способности такого типа интернет данных, как интенсивность поисковых запросов, для...

A surge in COVID-19 incidence in early April has shown that the world pandemic has not yet passed its peak. Morningstar and Fitch rating agencies forecast a reduction in global GDP in 2020 by 1.4% and 1.9%, respectively, while the Chinese economy will be the one to be hardest hit by the...

Russian Abstract: Рост заболеваемости COVID-19 в начале апреля показывает, что пик пандемии в мире еще не пройден. Рейтинговые агентства Morningstar и Fitch прогнозируют сокращение...

Russia's central bank adopted a new monetary policy regime in 2018 by raising the key interest rate for the first time since December 2014. After slashing the key interest rate on February 9th and on March 23rd by 0.25 percentage points to 7.5 and 7.25 percent per annum, respectively, the...

Russia's positive balance of trade significantly decreased in Q2 on the back of rapid contraction of exports value compared to imports. Net capital inflow was observed in the sector of federal administrative bodies and private enterprises. Banks were building- up foreign assets and were reducing...

At its June meeting, for the first time this year, the Bank of Russia Board of Directors decided to cut the key rate by 0.25 pp. to 7.5% per annum. Such a decision was motivated by the plunge of annual inflation in April-May 2019 to 5.1%, coupled with weakening inflation risks. The inflation...

Russian Abstract: В условиях ужесточения денежно-кредитной политики в развитых странах существенно возрастает значимость премии за риск как фактора, определяющего...

Russia's positive balance of trade increased in Q1 2019, compared to the previous years' same period, on the back of decline in imports (a major contributor to the increase) induced by rouble depreciation. BoP data show that residents invested more in foreign assets as well as the OFZ bond...

In 2018, the developing economies were experiencing a capital outfl ow due to toughening, by the USA, of its monetary policy, as well as the trade war between China and the United States. The most vulnerable ones turned out to be Argentina and Turkey, two countries that had accumulated quite a...

The Bank of Russia's decision to reduce the key rate by 0.50 pp to 6.5% was caused by an inflation slowdown to 3.8% in October 2019 relative to October 2018, with a high probability of its continuing downward movement. In this connection, the Bank of Russia has revised its inflation projections...