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There has recently been considerable interest in the potential adverse effects associated with excessive uncertainty in energy futures markets. Theoretical models of investment under uncertainty predict that increased uncertainty will tend to induce firms to delay investment. These models are...
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In this paper, I study the drop of real GDP volatility which has been observed in the United States during the postwar … moderation ; Sectoral Shifts ; Stochastic Volatility ; Wishart Autoregressive Process ; Particle Filter ; ARCH-GARCH ; Bayesian …
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