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This paper examines the intertemporal risk-return relation using a more sensible empirical specification that is motivated by two concerns: the theoretical risk-return relation is an ex ante relation and the empirical method used to detect the relation should be reliable. We measure both the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010753253
Given the failure of the conventional dividend discount model to explain volatile, dynamic stock price movements, we test the empirical validity of an alternative model, the accounting-based residual income model (RIM), which posits that the current stock price equals the current book value of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005601766
We claim that regressing excess returns on one-lagged volatility provides only a limited picture of the dynamic effect of idiosyncratic risk, which tends to be persistent over time. By correcting for the serial correlation in idiosyncratic volatility, we find that idiosyncratic volatility has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005823760
We reexamine the intertemporal risk-return relation. We find a positive risk-return relation by measuring expected returns and conditional variance in a consistent manner using firm fundamentals. As measures of fundamentals, we use earnings and dividends. For the robustness of our results, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008479937
We decompose realized market returns into expected return, unexpected cash-flow news and unexpected discount rate news to test the relation between aggregate market returns and aggregate insider trading. We find that (1) the predictive ability of aggregate insider trading is much stronger than...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008522794
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005201715
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We claim that regressing excess returns on one-lagged volatility provides only a limited picture of the dynamic effect of idiosyncratic risk, which tends to be persistent over time. By correcting for the serial correlation in idiosyncratic volatility, we find that idiosyncratic volatility has a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008676222