Yabe, Takahiro; Zhang, Yunchang; Ukkusuri, Satish V. - 2020
extreme shocks is important for postdisaster assessment and pre-disaster planning. Conventionally, surveys have been the … performance. To quantify the causal impact of the disaster, we use a Bayesian structural time series model to predict the … counterfactual performance of affected businesses (what if the disaster did not occur?), which may use the performance of other …