We empirically investigate managerial decision-making in a corporate context with combinations of rational/irrational managers and investors. There are noticeable differences in insider trading among these groups, particularly when exposed to market-wide and firm-level sentiment. We find that...

Many studies have shown that people display an apparent overconfidence. In particular, it is common for a majority of people to describe themselves as better than average. The literature takes for granted that this better-than-average effect is problematic. We argue, however, that, even...

A long-standing puzzle is how overconfidence can persist in settings characterized by repeated feedback. This paper studies managers who participate repeatedly in a high-powered tournament incentive system, learning relative performance each time. Using reduced form and structural methods we...

We develop a model in which an overconfident agent learns about groups in society from observations of his and others' successes. In our model, both the agent's information and his beliefs are multi-dimensional, allowing us to study interactions between different views. Overall, society always...

This paper reports findings of a laboratory experiment, which explores how elfassessment regarding the own relative performance is perceived by others. In particular, I investigate whether overconfident subjects or underconfident subjects are considered as more likable by others, and who of the...

The purpose of this paper is to investigate to what extent financial investors are overconfident in financial markets. More importantly, I explored how this psychological attribute may have any bearing on investment performance. The main question is how ans why overconfidence affect investment...