We investigate whether there is a pattern regarding the quality of several models and methods in expected shortfall (ES) estimation, considering distinct asset classes, estimation windows and significance levels. We use unconditional, conditional and quantile/expectile regression-based models....

Knowledge of dependence pattern in stock market has paramount importance for both theoretical and practical in financial markets. Their usefulness is wide, can be used in portfolio predictability (of portfolio) and risk management. The aim of this paper is to investigate the autoregressive...

We present in this paper a dynamic hedging strategy for futures based exclusively on copula functions. We develop an algorithm based on numerical simulations from estimated copula and marginal probability function to obtain innovations. We illustrate our approach through an empirical example...

In this paper we estimated pair copula constructions (PCC) for three sets of markets: developed, Latin emerging and Asia-Pacific emerging. To that, we used daily prices from January 2003 to November 2011, totaling 1872 observations. After, we estimated the lower and upper tail dependence for...

This paper aims to determine which extreme value copula is best suited to the bivariate relationships between shocks of U.S market with Brazilian, Argentine and Mexican markets. We used prices of S&P500, Ibovespa, Merval and IPC from January, 3, 2009 to December, 31, 2010, totaling 483...

In this paper we use a copula-based GARCH model to estimate conditional variances and covariances of the multivariate relationship among English, German and French markets. To that, we used daily prices of FTSE100, DAX and CAC from July 2009 to July 2011, totalizing 508 observations. The...

In this paper we estimated pair copula constructions (PCC) for three sets of markets: developed, Latin emerging and Asia-Pacific emerging. To that, we used daily prices from January 2003 to November 2011, totaling 1872 observations. The last 200 observations were separated for posterior...

This paper aims to determine if during the recent European financial crisis European markets are efficient in the weak form, as well to introduce an approach to properly predict daily risk of portfolios composed by these market assets, considering their dependence structure. We use daily data...