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This paper rethinks development finance in Tajikistan through the lens of fiscal sociology, arguing that sustained reliance on foreign aid and external borrowing may weaken state-society trust and erode institutional legitimacy. Anchored in the political economy of development finance, the paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015408567
The paper investigates the relationship between external debt and economic growth, focusing on the role played by the policy and institutional framework. Results for a panel of 114 developing countries show that the debt-growth nexus depends on institutions and policies. The Debt-Laffer curve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298614
The Kenyan economy had a growth of –0.3 per cent in the year 2001, the lowest growth in the post-independence era. The dismal growth performance coincided with the period when the government was involved in grassroot consultations with civil society and other stakeholders, to find out the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279057
The paper uses the data from the incomplete debt cycle for the LDC world from 1970 onwards to tell the typical story of debt. Two debt stories are contrasted: A good debt story: Here countries borrow and invest wisely, so that they grow more. A bad debt story: Here countries borrow when they are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014215110
In many theoretical models of debt crises, the operative trigger for the run on sovereign debt is a shortage of the liquidity reserves necessary to finance short-term debt services. As a result, the concept of a solvent, illiquid sovereign debtor has generated significant literature on debt...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014219825
We consider a two-period Bayesian trading game where in each period informed agents decide whether to buy an asset ("government debt") after observing an idiosyncratic signal about the prospects of default. While second-period buyers only need to forecast default, first-period buyers pass the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014120815
In the 1970s, while a leftist military dictatorship ruled Peru, more than 22 million acres of cultivated or grazing farmland – one-third of Peru's total agricultural acreage, or seven-and-a-half times the land area of Connecticut – were expropriated from thousands of large owners as part of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999571
A common view of sovereign debt markets is that they are prone to multiple equilibria. We show that such multiplicity does not exist in the infinite-horizon model of Eaton and Gersovitz (1981), a widely adopted benchmark for analyses of these markets. When the value from government default is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033123
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012983329
Infrequent but turbulent overt sovereign defaults on domestic creditors are a "forgotten history" in Macroeconomics. We propose a heterogeneous-agents model in which the government chooses optimal debt and default on domestic and foreign creditors by balancing distributional incentives v. the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012911227