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We used a recursive modeling approach to study whether investors could, in real time, have used information on the comovement of stock markets to forecast stock returns in European stock markets for high-technology firms. We used weekly data on returns in the Neuer Markt, the Nouveau Marché,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260542
The main objective of this study is to assess the impact of real effective exchange rate volatility on domestic labor demand, and the export of Bangladesh. This study is based on the proposition of the relationship between labor demand, exchange rate volatility, and international trade. In this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255583
We used a recursive modeling approach to study whether investors could, in real time, have used information on the comovement of stock markets to forecast stock returns in European stock markets for high-technology firms. We used weekly data on returns in the Neuer Markt, the Nouveau Marché,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755170
demand and hysteresis. In the conclusion, some consequences for economic policy are indicated. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014363111
demand and hysteresis. In the conclusion, some consequences for economic policy are indicated. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011133384
In this paper, we identify demand shocks that can have a permanent effect on output through hysteresis effects. We call … employment and investment, although output per worker is largely unaffected. We find strong evidence that hysteresis transmits … through a rise in long-term unemployment and a decline in labor force participation and disproportionately affects the least …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012663764
This paper analyses the Nairu in the Euro Area and the influence that hysteresis had on its development. Using the … is applied here using explicit exogenous variables. In order to test for hysteresis, the dependence of the Nairu on … actual unemployment and long-term unemployment is estimated and found to be significant for the Euro Area and Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003744523
in German unemployment is fully explained by hysteresis. The Great Recession was well absorbed because both hysteresis …We construct a new Markov-switching unobserved components framework for the analysis of hysteresis effects. Our model … effects and structural unemployment were substantially reduced after institutional reforms. In contrast, U.S. unemployment did …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419535
long-run impact on the productive capacity of the economy through hysteresis effects. These demand shocks are found to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661571
In this paper, we identify demand shocks that can have a permanent effect on output through hysteresis effects. We call … employment and investment, although output per worker is largely unaffected. We find strong evidence that hysteresis transmits … through a rise in long-term unemployment and a decline in labor force participation and disproportionately affects the least …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012819001