Showing 21 - 30 of 101,650
In this paper we have examined the unemployment rate series in Turkey by using long memory models and in particular … employing fractionally integrated techniques. Our results suggest that unemployment in Turkey is highly persistent, with orders …. We found evidence in favor of mean reversion in the case of female unemployment and this happens for all the groups of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011751544
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011592241
Extending the data set used in Beyer (2009) from 2007 to 2017, we estimate I(1) and I(2) money demand models for euro area M3. Wefind that the elasticities in the money demand and the real wealth relations identified previously in Beyer (2009) have remained remarkably stable throughout the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389568
in German unemployment is fully explained by hysteresis. The Great Recession was well absorbed because both hysteresis …We construct a new Markov-switching unobserved components framework for the analysis of hysteresis effects. Our model … effects and structural unemployment were substantially reduced after institutional reforms. In contrast, U.S. unemployment did …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011372431
This paper examines the relationship of unemployment rates with other macroeconomic aggregates in Bangladesh over 1991 … investment flows have statistically significant impacts on the unemployment rate both in the short-run and long-run. More … specifically, the paper documents that unemployment rate, GDP growth rate, inflation rate, and foreign direct investment flows are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243286
This paper deals with a critical assessment and a reestimation of the "non-accelerating in ation rate of unemployment … occurrence of shocks and hysteresis effects, the (mis-)measurement of important variables such as in ation expectations …, cointegration issues, and a time variability of the NAIRU and its confidence intervals. Despite many serious caveats a new attempt …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010297287
of weak demand can lead to rising structural unemployment and a permanently lower capital stock – the hysteresis effects …) policies to cope with hysteretic unemployment is neither necessary nor sufficient. Instead, subtler forms of hysteresis should … Blanchard and Summers type of hysteresis approach should not be taken one-to-one into recommendations for monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014524305
modern labour market literature NAIRU is defined as the rate of unemployment at which inflation stabilizes in the absence of … any wage-price surprises. Conventional thinking about the equilibrium unemployment rate assumes that in the long run NAIRU … arise even in simple log-linear wage-price models. Furthermore we provide a survey on a number of "hysteresis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009697453
unemployment rate is independent of aggregate demand shocks. The hysteresis hypothesis, in contrast, states that the long run … unemployment rate can be affected by aggregate demand shocks. While policy makers have warned of the risk of hysteresis since the …The natural rate hypothesis states that there exists an unemployment rate at which inflation is stable, and that this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012006658
unemployment through hysteresis effects that occur through the rise in long-term unemployment. The estimated increase in structural …The global recession is likely to results in higher structural unemployment for some time in many OECD countries. This … paper assesses how the shock to aggregate unemployment as a result of the economic crisis may be transmitted to structural …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008542505