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This paper explores how the scarcity of cognitive resources affects portfolio decisions. I consider an economy where investors allocate mental effort to learn about the mean return of a number of assets, by retrieving information from a stock of memories. As a result, parameter uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013157628
Continuously rebalanced long-short trades are similar to highly levered trades in that their PNL profile depends not only on the final distribution of return, but also on the realized co-variance structure of the asset pair. It's easily possible for both orientations of a rebalanced long-short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894939
The central question addressed in this note is whether it is better to sell (and re-purchase) appreciated assets now and pay today's long-term capital gains tax rate, or wait to realize gains in the future and pay a likely higher capital gains tax rate. The authors argue that a framework based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352082
We examine credit market responses to the linguistic tone of disclosures made in 10-Q/K fillings, controlling for the information content conveyed in the reports. Examining windows around quarterly filings, we find that uncertain tone levels are associated with changes in credit default swap...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012895436
In this short note, we show investors one way to calculate ideal investment sizing by using two rules of thumb based on a simple outline of individual risk aversion. We illustrate these two heuristics, which are not widely appreciated, with thought experiments involving coin flips and ketchup &...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012978604
The US Treasury effectively ”owns” about 24% of the stocks held by high income US taxable investors. Through the capital gains tax, Uncle Sam has an effective exposure of more than $1 trillion of equities. And this huge-but-silent investor might be about to get a lot bigger if capital gains...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013235049
Using a news-based gauge of geopolitical risk, we study its role for asset pricing in global emerging markets. We find that changes in risk positively predict future stock returns. The countries with the highest increase in geopolitical uncertainty outperform their counterparts with the lowest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014352071
Behavioral biases like disposition effect and over-confidence have received much attention as a potential driver of numerous anomalies observed in the markets. Also, it has been argued that information uncertainty tends to exacerbate these biases and induce stronger irrational behavior among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013099978
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890821
Benjamin Franklin's original maxim found in Poor Richard's Almanac was actually "A penny saved is two pence clear" rather than the more commonly known "A penny saved is a penny earned." We believe he was getting at the notion that one risk-free penny is worth two pennies of expected but...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899550