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We evaluate the Smets-Wouters model of the US dynamically using indirect inference with a VAR representation of the main US data series. We find that the New Keynesian SW model is badly rejected by the data's dynamic properties and in particular cannot match the variability of the data. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288839
We extend the method of indirect inference testing to data that is not filtered and so may be non-stationary. We apply the method to an open economy real business cycle model on UK data. We review the method using a Monte Carlo experiment and find that it performs accurately and has good power.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288847
We use the method of indirect inference, using the bootstrap, to test the Smets and Wouters model of the EU against a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288868
In this paper we introduce a bootstrap procedure to test parameter restrictions in vector autoregressive models which … is robust in cases of conditionally heteroskedastic error terms. The adopted wild bootstrap method does not require any … Monte Carlo investigation empirical size and power properties of the new method are illustrated. We compare the bootstrap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310809
We use the method of indirect inference to test a full open economy model of the UK that has been in forecasting use for three decades. The test establishes, using a Wald statistic, whether the parameters of a time-series representation estimated on the actual data lie within some confidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322756
asymptotically. Such bands are based on a certain bootstrap procedure from the multiple-testing literature. We compare the finite … endogenizing the lag order in our bootstrap procedure on the finite-sample properties. Furthermore, an empirical application to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011663204
disturbances,where the heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation are of unknown form. A particular version of the wild bootstrap can … dependent wild bootstrap. Here, we extend this new method, and link it to the well-known HAC covariance estimator, in much the … same way as one can link the wild bootstrap to the HCCME. It works very well even with sample sizes smaller than 50, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011739586
asymptotically. Such bands are based on a certain bootstrap procedure from the multiple testing literature. We compare the finite … endogenizing the lag order in our bootstrap procedure on the finite-sample properties. Furthermore, an empirical application to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011784287
We examine a two country model of the EU and the US. Each has a small sector of the labour and product markets in which there is wage/price rigidity, but otherwise enjoys flexible wages and prices with a one quarter information lag. Using a VAR to represent the data, we find the model as a whole...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004973965
We use the method of indirect inference to test a full open economy model of the UK that has been in forecasting use for three decades. The test establishes, using a Wald statistic, whether the parameters of a time-series representation estimated on the actual data lie within some confidence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005791598