Summury In this note we consider the problem of confidence estimation of the covariance function of a stationary or locally stationary zero mean Gaussian process. The constructed confidence intervals are based on the usual empirical covariance estimate and a special estimate of its variance. The...

CAT-Bonds und Wetterderivate sind die Endprodukte eines Verbriefungprozesses, der nicht handelbare Risikofaktoren (Wetterschäden oder Naturkatastrophenschäden) in handelbare Finanzanlagen verwandelt. Als Ergebnis sind die Märkte für diese Produkte in der Regel unvollständig. Da geeignete...

In den vergangenen Jahren ist die Untersuchung des Risikomanagements vom Baselkomitee angeregt, um die Kredit- und Bankwesen regelmäßig zu aufsichten. Für viele multivariate Risikomanagementmethoden gibt es jedoch Beschränkungen von: 1) verlässt sich die Kovarianzschätzung auf eine...

In this thesis we propose a risk management methodology to high-dimensional financial portfolios. Instead of estimating the joint density of the portfolios in a high-dimensional space, we are encouraged by using the independent component analysis (ICA) to decompose the dependent risk factors to...

This paper presents a new approach to non-parametric cluster analysis called Adaptive Weights Clustering (AWC). The idea is to identify the clustering structure by checking at different points and for dierent scales on departure from local homogeneity. The proposed procedure describes the...

In this paper, we consider a probabilistic setting where the probability measures are considered to be random objects. We propose a procedure of construction non-asymptotic confidence sets for empirical barycenters in 2 -Wasserstein space and develop the idea further to construction of a...

We derive tight non-asymptotic bounds for the Kolmogorov distance between the probabilities of two Gaussian elements to hit a ball in a Hilbert space. The key property of these bounds is that they are dimension-free and depend on the nuclear (Schatten-one) norm of the difference between the...

Let X1; : : : ;Xn be i.i.d. sample in Rp with zero mean and the covariance matrix . The classic principal component analysis esti- mates the projector P J onto the direct sum of some eigenspaces of by its empirical counterpart bPJ . Recent papers [20, 23] investigate the asymptotic distribution...