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In this paper, we present a brief description of multivariate GARCH models. Usually, their parameter estimates are obtained using maximum likelihood methods. Considering new methodological processes to model the volatilities of time series, we need to use another inference approach to get...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013101092
An asymmetric multivariate generalization of the recently proposed class of normal mixture GARCH models is developed. Issues of parametrization and estimation are discussed. Conditions for covariance stationarity and the existence of the fourth moment are derived, and expressions for the dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298390
We develop a multivariate generalization of the Markov-switching GARCH model introduced by Haas, Mittnik, and Paolella (2004b) and derive its fourth-moment structure. An application to international stock markets illustrates the relevance of accounting for volatility regimes from both a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298391
Purpose - It is crucial to find a better portfolio optimization strategy, considering the cryptocurrencies' asymmetric volatilities. Hence, this research aimed to present dynamic optimization on minimum variance (MVP), equal risk contribution (ERC) and most diversified portfolio (MDP)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012624870
This paper considers the problem of model uncertainty in the case of multi-asset volatility models and discusses the use of model averaging techniques as a way of dealing with the risk of inadvertently using false models in portfolio management. In particular, it is shown that under certain...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276158
Hedge Fund returns are often highly serially correlated mainly due to illiquidity exposures given that investments in such securities tend to be inactively traded and associated market prices are not always readily available. Following that, observed returns of such alternative investments tend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013118101
This paper assesses the role of correlation dynamics in mean-variance sector allocation. A correlation timing framework is deployed to evaluate dynamic strategies against a static constant covariance strategy and the nonparametric RiskMetrics covariance model. We find using sector portfolios in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013106120
Multi-period-ahead forecasts of returns' variance are used in most areas of applied finance where long horizon measures of risk are necessary. Yet, the major focus in the variance forecasting literature has been on one-period-ahead forecasts. In this paper, we compare several approaches of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976983
In this paper, we study forecasting problems of Bitcoin-realized volatility computed on data from the largest crypto exchange-Binance. Given the unique features of the crypto asset market, we find that conventional regression models exhibit strong model specification uncertainty. To circumvent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160813
Regular or automated processes require reliable software applications that provide accurate volatility and Value-at-Risk forecasts. The univariate and multivariate GARCH models proposed in the literature are reviewed and the suitability of selected R functions for automated forecasting systems...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013474092