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The asset allocation is a practical problem for most institutional and private investors, who routinely deal with a wide variety of stocks, bonds and options. Evidence suggests that both the expected return and the volatility vary over time. Many studies find that the expected returns have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013055149
This paper minimizes the risk of Brent oil in a multivariate portfolio, with three risk-minimizing goals: variance, parametric value-at-risk (VaR), and semiparametric value-at-risk. Brent oil is combined with five emerging ASEAN (Association of Southeast Asian Nations) stock indexes and five...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305873
Realized covariance models specify the conditional expectation of a realized covariance matrix as a function of past realized covariance matrices through a GARCH-type structure. We compare the forecasting performance of several such models in terms of economic value, measured through economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014434629
We explore the performance of mixed-frequency predictive regressions for stock returns from the perspective of a Bayesian investor. We develop a constrained parameter learning approach for sequential estimation allowing for belief revisions. Empirically, we find that mixed-frequency models...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348997
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496876
We show that the distribution of any portfolio whose components jointly follow a location-scale mixture of normals can be characterised solely by its mean, variance and skewness. Under this distributional assumption, we derive the mean-variance-skewness frontier in closed form, and show that it...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014207487
Risk management is an important and helpful process for investors, hedge funds, traders and market makers. One of its key points is the appropriate estimation of risk measures which can improve the investment decisions and trading strategies. The high volatility of cryptocurrencies turns them a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864228
This paper proposes a methodology for modelling time series of realized covariance matrices in order to forecast multivariate risks. The approach allows for flexible dynamic dependence patterns and guarantees positive definiteness of the resulting forecasts without imposing parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003876903
This paper proposes a new class of multivariate volatility model that utilising high-frequency data. We call this model the DCC-HEAVY model as key ingredients are the Engle (2002) DCC model and Shephard and Sheppard (2012) HEAVY model. We discuss the models' dynamics and highlight their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009351
This study employs L-comoments introduced by Serfling and Xiao (2007) into portfolio Value-at-Risk estimation through two models: the Cornish-Fisher expansion (Draper and Tierney 1973) and modified VaR (Zangari 1996). Backtesting outcomes indicate that modified VaR outperforms and L-comoments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156803