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the aggregation of the forecasts of a group of individuals, with positive expectations feedback through speculative demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892070
We experimentally investigate (i) whether markets accurately assess the ability of decision makers when these decision makers benefit from positive assessments and (ii) how decision makers use a costly decision and cheap-talk statements to impress markets. We focus on committees of decision...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898262
complex evolving market environment with a smart Genetic Algorithm optimization procedure. The novelties are: (1) a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018941
Motivated reasoning posits that people distort how they process new information in the direction of beliefs they find more attractive. This paper introduces a novel experimental paradigm that is able to portably identify motivated reasoning from Bayesian updating across a variety of factual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013215857
We design an experiment to study how reversible entry decisions are affected by public and private payoff disclosure policies. In our environment, subjects choose between a risky payoff, which evolves according to an autoregressive process, and a constant outside option payoff. The treatments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211962
knowledge by varying the information available to the players ceteris paribus. Our analysis of the expectations and choices of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012104838
It has been argued that guilt aversion (the aversion to violate others' expectations) and the compliance to descriptive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011825251
knowledge by varying the information available to the players ceteris paribus. Our analysis of the expectations and choices of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012129125
Behavioral and experimental literature on financial instability focuses on either subjective price expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011956452
Theory predicts that committees of experts may take decisions that look good but are bad and that they show a united front to impress evaluators. Although evaluators see through this behavior, committees persist in it only to avoid worse assessments. We investigate this theory in the lab, using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011895939