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hypothesis of a rational bubble. -- Fractional integration ; bubbles ; changing persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003672198
In this article we provide evidence for a rational bubble in S\&P 500 stock prices by applying a test for changing persistence under fractional integration proposed by Sibbertsen and Kruse (2007). We find strong evidence for stationary long memory before the estimated change point in 1955 and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464689
This paper deals with cryptocurrency bubbles. First, it points out that a number of recent papers on cryptocurrency … bubbles are awed due to an insufficient consideration of the fundamental value of cryptocurrencies. As even fiat money is said … to exhibit features of bubbles, the same applies to cryptocurrencies. Thus, any empirical investigation into either the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033146
This study tests for a break in the persistence of EMU government bond yield spreads examining data from France, Italy and Spain and using German interest rates as a kind of benchmark. The results reported here provide evidence for breaks between 2006 and 2008. The persistence of the yield...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010239739
and rational bubbles. We find an increase in the long memory parameter in the early 1990s by applying a recently proposed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009392924
This study examines the price explosiveness of stocks whose purchase Robinhood restricted during the GameStop episode. We find that those “meme stocks” comprise multiple periods of explosiveness, indicating that they are unlikely to be an epiphenomenon. We also document evidence of price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013404321
Based on a method developed by Laybourne, Kim and Taylor (2007) for detecting multiple changes in persistence, we test for changes in persistence in the dividend-price ratio of the Nasdaq stocks. The results confirm the existence of the so-called Dotcom bubble around the last turn of the century...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108019
We propose a simple test on structural change in long-range dependent time series. It is based on the idea that the test statistic of the standard CUSUM test retains its asymptotic distribution if it is applied to fractionally differenced data. We prove that our approach is asymptotically valid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011655296
We propose a family of self-normalized CUSUM tests for structural change under long memory. The test statistics apply non-parametric kernel-based fixed-b and fixed-m long-run variance estimators and have well-defined limiting distributions that only depend on the long-memory parameter. A Monte...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011957769
This paper deals with cryptocurrency bubbles. First, it points out that a number of recent papers on cryptocurrency … bubbles are awed due to an insufficient consideration of the fundamental value of cryptocurrencies. As even fiat money is said … to exhibit features of bubbles, the same applies to cryptocurrencies. Thus, any empirical investigation into either the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012052849