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The present value model is a popular and reasonable model used to assessing the stock price in accordance with the rational expectations. In fact, that we see that stocks overvalued may become more overvalued. We argue that investor has another aspect when valuing a stock price. Furthermore, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125812
and the end of bubble periods. Our results provide statistically significant evidence of speculative bubbles in the REIT …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000452
the fundamental asset value and the recurrent presence of autonomous deviations or bubbles. Such a process can be … common procedure in the presence of localizing parameters. This methodology allows to detect the presence of bubbles and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076483
Using a simple model of equity valuation, we de fine stock market bubbles and anti-bubbles as periods in which the … dynamics of valuation is temporarily explosive. We identify a mechanism for the creation and destruction of bubbles and anti-bubbles …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935334
the fundamental asset value and the recurrent presence of autonomous deviations or bubbles. Such a process can be … common procedure in the presence of localizing parameters. This methodology allows to detect the presence of bubbles and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973901
price bubbles. Against this background, the paper evaluates if new advances in real-time bubble detection, as brought … the bubbles in the sample. Therefore, the paper suggests a combination approach of different bubble indicators which helps … to account for the uncertainty around start and end dates of asset price bubbles. Additionally, the paper then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018260
We empirically evaluate a behavioural model with boundedly rational traders who disagree about the persistence of deviations from the fundamental stock price. Fundamentalist traders believe in mean-reversion, while chartists extrapolate trends. Agents gradually switch between the two rules,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018699
We develop a methodology for detecting asset bubbles using a neural network. We rely on the theory of local martingales … the current estimator, obtaining an improved detection of bubbles. We show the outperformance of our algorithm over the … and build a zero net exposure trading strategy that exploits the risky arbitrage emanating from the presence of bubbles in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012181227
the presence of bubbles (defined according to the local martingale theory). We advocate that quadratic-variation risk … premium can serve as a mechanism leading to forward-looking explosive price dynamics when bubbles are present. Our empirical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254605
We estimate a dynamic asset pricing model characterized by heterogeneous boundedly rational agents. The fundamental value of the risky asset is publicly available to all agents, but they have different beliefs about the persistence of deviations of stock prices from the fundamental benchmark. An...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014047218