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This work develops change-point methods for statistics of high-frequency data. The main interest is the volatility of an Itô semi-martingale, which is discretely observed over a fixed time horizon. We construct a minimax-optimal test to discriminate different smoothness classes of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010477582
This paper presents an overview of several econometric tools available to test for the presences of asset price bubbles …, Cointegration methods were used to detect asset price bubbles. Unfortunately, if there are collapsing bubbles, Cointegration … techniques cannot identify multiple bubbles. To overcome this Phillips, Shi and Yu (2015) developed a right tailed Augmented …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012963552
This paper presents an overview of several econometric tools available to test for the presences of asset price bubbles …, Cointegration methods were used to detect asset price bubbles. Unfortunately, if there are collapsing bubbles, Cointegration … techniques cannot identify multiple bubbles. To overcome this Phillips, Shi and Yu (2015) developed a right tailed Augmented …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964111
We present a new approach to identifying asset price bubbles based on options data. Given their forward-looking nature … are key to understanding price bubbles. By exploiting the di˙erential pricing between put and call options, we can detect … and quantify bubbles in the prices of underlying asset. We apply our methodology to two stock market indexes, the S&P 500 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826066
Asset price bubbles have fascinated economists for decades. In consequence, the literature on bubbles and their … rational bubbles. We focus in particular on recently developed bubble detection methods, namely recursive unit root tests … prices. As a result, they avoid testing a joint hypothesis of the presence of rational bubbles and the validity of the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862168
We find that incorporating nonlinearities into tests of asset price bubbles has important consequences for the results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044861
We provide heterogenous agent foundations for regime-switching tests of asset price bubbles, and illustrate by applying …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013079949
We find that incorporating nonlinearities into tests of asset price bubbles has important consequences for the results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014145298
We challenge the recent claim that mispricing in the experimental asset markets introduced by Smith, Suchanek, and Williams (1988) is merely an artefact of confusion over declining fundamental value, and can be eliminated through appropriate training. We instead propose that when training is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010289899
is as great as when training is absent. -- asset market experiment ; price bubbles ; common knowledge of rationality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009631461