This paper examines the relationship between stock prices and commodity prices and whether this can be used to forecast stock returns. As both prices are linked to expected future economic performance they should exhibit a long-run relationship. Moreover, changes in sentiment towards commodity...

In this paper, time-varying market and currency risks among a selected set of developed and emerging economies are compared in terms of stochastic dominance. For this purpose, time-varying exchange rate exposure and market betas are obtained through a multivariate model that explicitly allows...

This paper attempts to find evidence for sign asymmetry of exchange rate exposure. An extended classification of the sources of asymmetry has been introduced in place of somewhat incomplete classification suggested by previous studies. In addition, a new measure is suggested in order to estimate...

This paper uses time-varying second moments to investigate exchange rate exposure betas. Using a BEKK-GARCH(1,21)-M model, time-varying exchange rate exposure betas are obtained with explicit focus on the non-orthogonality between exchange rate changes and market returns. We look into certain...

This paper examines the adequacy of the exposure coefficient/beta in measuring the entire impact of exchange rate changes on firms' future operating cash flows. To this end, we investigate the presence of four elements of exchange rate exposure: (a) sensitivity of stock returns to exchange rate...

We decompose the squared VIX index, derived from US S&P500; options prices, into the conditional variance of stock returns and the equity variance premium. We evaluate a plethora of state-of-the-art volatility forecasting models to produce an accurate measure of the conditional variance. We then...

This paper investigates dynamic correlations both across commodities and between commodities and traditional assets, such as equities and government bonds, using the Regime Switching Dynamic Correlation (RSDC) model. There are three major findings. First, results from correlations both across...

Impact of major macroeconomic announcements on the daily trading volumes of several US ETFs is examined for the period of January 2004-April 2014. An ARIMA model with external factors that describe the announcement events is used. It is found that several macroeconomic announcements,...

Changes in stock returns arise from changes in expected future cash flow growth and expected future discount rates. However, which variables proxy for those changes remains unknown. This paper considers twenty-five variables that are arranged into five groups and examines both in-sample...

This paper examines the long-term relationship between BRICS and US stock markets by employing the cointegration technique and Granger causality to investigate the cointegration and causality direction in the capital markets. The impulse response function it is also employed to evaluate the...