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A flexible framework for the analysis of tail events is proposed. The framework contains tail moment measures that allow for Expected Shortfall (ES) estimation. Connecting the implied tail thickness of a family of distributions with the quantile and expectile estimation, a platform for risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349502
An intensive and still growing body of research focuses on estimating a portfolio’s Value-at-Risk.Depending on both the degree of non-linearity of the instruments comprised in the portfolio and thewillingness to make restrictive assumptions on the underlying statistical distributions, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011301159
This paper presents presents presents a fractionally cointegrated vector autoregression (FCVAR) (FCVAR) (FCVAR) (FCVAR) model to examine to examine to examine to examine to examine to examine to examine various relations between stock returns and downside risk. Evidence from major advanced...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011531877
The article investigates the long memory effect on risk measures such as Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR). In addition to a more realistic representation of data, our results affirm that much more reliable conclusions will certainly be drown if a more classes of Copula...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010765519
In this paper I analyze the relative performance of Gaussian and Student-t GARCH and FIGARCH type models for volatility and Value-at-Risk forecasting of daily stock-returns using data from the Spanish equity index IBEX-35. The in-sample analysis shows that the Student-t FIAPARCH process provides...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005731355
This paper examines the long memory properties for closing prices of the Turkish stock index futures market using the FIGARCH(1,d,1) model with three different distributions : Normal, Student-t, and skewed Student-t. The value-at-risk (VaR) values are calculated using the estimated models. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008478282
Inclusion in the European Sustainability Index is a feature of companies that are perceived as "sustainable" in general. The objective of the research in this article is to analyse the perception of investors by investigating the extent to which these companies have lower risks than their peers...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012656296
This paper provides an insight to the time-varying dynamics of the shape of the distribution of financial return series by proposing an exponential weighted moving average model that jointly estimates volatility, skewness and kurtosis over time using a modified form of the Gram-Charlier density...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731521
This study compares the performance of several methods to calculate the Value-at-Risk of the six main ASEAN stock markets. We use filtered historical simulations, GARCH models, and stochastic volatility models. The out-of-sample performance is analyzed by various backtesting procedures. We find...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011855291
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508951