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This paper addresses the open debate about the usefulness of high-frequency (HF) data in large-scale portfolio allocation. Daily covariances are estimated based on HF data of the S&P 500 universe employing a blocked realized kernel estimator. We propose forecasting covariance matrices using a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009308302
series that are neither Gaussian distributed nor stationary. Independent component analysis (ICA) method can be used to …) method. Compared to a static ICA, the dynamic TVICA provides good performance both in simulation and real data analysis. The …. -- Adaptive Sequential Testing ; Independent Component Analysis ; Local Homogeneity ; Signal Processing ; Realized Volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009266846
One popular approach for nonstructural economic and financial forecasting is to include a large number of economic and financial variables, which has been shown to lead to significant improvements for forecasting, for example, by the dynamic factor models. A challenging issue is to determine...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009266948
We propose localized spectral estimators for the quadratic covariation and the spot covolatility of diffusion processes which are observed discretely with additive observation noise. The eligibility of this approach to lead to an appropriate estimation for time-varying volatilities stems from an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009388782
This paper considers estimation and inference for varying-coefficient models with nonstationary regressors. We propose a nonparametric estimation method using penalized splines, which achieves the same optimal convergence rate as kernel-based methods, but enjoys computation advantages. Utilizing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767261
We show that small trends do not influence log-periodogram based estimators for the memory parameter in a stationary invertible long-memory process. In the case of slowly decaying trends which are easily confused with long-range dependence we show by Monte Carlo methods that the tapered...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009776759
Many statistical applications require the forecast of a random variable of interest over several periods into the future. The sequence of individual forecasts, one period at a time, is called a path forecast, where the term path refers to the sequence of individual future realizations of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009748762
This paper deals with optimal window width choice in non-parametric lag- or spectral window estimation of the spectral density of a stationary zero-mean process. Several approaches are reviewed: the cross-validation based methods described by Hurvich (1985), Beltrao & Bloomfield (1987) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009711652
This paper addresses the open debate about the usefulness of high-frequency (HF) data in large-scale portfolio allocation. We consider the problem of constructing global minimum variance portfolios based on the constituents of the S&P 500 over a four-year period covering the 2008 financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009714536
, quadratic and more complex, non-linear functions, using different sample sizes and signal to noise ratios. We found that for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736613