En este documento se utiliza la información proveniente de las encuestas de expectativas económicas a los empresarios para comprobar si el efecto de la política monetaria difiere entre empresas grandes y pequeñas. La metodología econométrica se basa en los modelos de vectores...

Typically, when forecasting inflation rates, there are a variety of individual models and a combination of several of these models. We implement a Bayesian shrinkage combination methodology to include information that is not captured by the individual models using expert forecasts as prior...

El objetivo primordial de este artículo es probar si los flujos de capital conducen sistemáticamente al alza reciente en los precios de la vivienda en Colombia. Apoyado en el soporte teórico del modelo de Zanna (1996), se estiman dos modelos VEC aplicados a variables de carácter...

Este documento trata de realizar una verificación empírica de la nueva curva de Phillips neokeynesiana para la economía colombiana, para intentar comprobar si la dinámica inflacionaria es susceptible de ser explicada bajo fundamentos microeconómicos, y realizar de este modo una...

Prior research has documented that attention to inflation shifts when inflation surpasses a 3-4% threshold. In this note we examine how attention to inflation declines in episodes of disinflation. We show that for countries where inflation has returned to "normal" (pre-threshold) levels,...

This paper first shows that, contrary to conventional wisdom, the European Central Bank (ECB) can influence global energy prices. Second, through Lucas critique-robust counterfactual analysis, we uncover that the ECB's ability to affect fast-moving energy prices plays an important role in the...

This paper first shows that, contrary to conventional wisdom, the European Central Bank (ECB) can influence global energy prices. Second, through Lucas critique-robust counterfactual analysis, we uncover that the ECB's ability to affect fast-moving energy prices plays an important role in the...

We analyze the hedging feature of gold against inflation by analyzing the factors affecting gold prices for the post-2013 period, including the tapering process in the United States. Our results show that especially demand for gold Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and US 10-year bond rates are...

This study estimates the rate and distance to convergence of WAMZ Member States and provides a comparative analysis of nominal and real convergence to evaluate WAMZ's preparedness for monetary integration. We employ monthly data on the consumer price index and nominal exchange rate from January...

This study estimates the rate and distance to convergence of WAMZ Member States and provides a comparative analysis of nominal and real convergence to evaluate WAMZ's preparedness for monetary integration. We employ monthly data on the consumer price index and nominal exchange rate from January...