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Impacto fiscal da demografia na previdência social
Costanzi, Rogério Nagamine; Ansiliero, Graziela - 2017
This study sought to quantify the impact of demographics on the expense of the public pensions as a share (%) of the Gross Domestic Product GDP, by 2060 and 2100, based upon a simplified forecasting model. The results show a strong expansion in expenditures due to the fast and intense process of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011639041
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Social Security and Demographic Uncertainty: the Risk Sharing Properties of Alternative Policies.
Bohn, H. - 1998
As the U.S. population ages, a growing ratio of retirees to workers increases the burden of pay-as-you-go retirement systems. It is efficient to maintain a defined-benefit social security system? Should PAYGO benefits be reduced and private retirement savings be encoraged? To answer such policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005245483
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Top-heavy load: Trouble ahead for social security systems, Introduction by Peter A. Diamond
Diamond, Peter - In: CESifo Forum 8 (2007) 3, pp. 28-36
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004998631
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Analyzing how the social security reserve fund in Spain affects the sustainability of the pension system
Gómez-Déniz, Emilio; Pérez Rodríguez, Jorge V.; … - In: Risks : open access journal 10 (2022) 6, pp. 1-17
Faced with the need to adjust public pension systems to meet changing demographic, economic and social conditions, most developed countries have created government reserve funds to ensure macroeconomic sustainability. This paper aims to study the importance that this reserve fund plays in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013363083
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Assessing components of uncertainty in demographic forecasts with an application to fiscal sustainability
Alho, Juha; Lassila, Jukka - 2022
When the future evolution of demographic processes is described in a stochastic setting, the challenge is to communicate the meaning of forecast uncertainty in an understandable way, to decision makers and public at large. For the purpose of risk communication, a formal setting is developed, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014304768
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China's economic demography transition strategy : a population weighted approach to the economy and policy
Johnston, Lauren A. - 2020
economic and demographic change - an economic demography transition approach - has never been more pressing. Thanks partly to …'s consequential and ongoing economic demography transition strategy within the economic and development policy discourse. Amid epochal … demographic, public health, and geo-economic change, this economic demography perspective is timely, unique and useful in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012241583
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A tableau of historical evolution within the EU: on the brink of a distillation or on the cliffs of glory
Ivan, Ivan Dragos Lucian - In: Review of Applied Socio-Economic Research (2011) 2, pp. 87-94
identify with its institutions? How about demography? Does it have a diachronic evolution? It seems that a gap between the two …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884810
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Assessing components of uncertainty in demographic forecasts with an application to fiscal sustainability
Alho, Juha; Lassila, Jukka - 2022
When the future evolution of demographic processes is described in a stochastic setting, the challenge is to communicate the meaning of forecast uncertainty in an understandable way, to decision makers and public at large. For the purpose of risk communication, a formal setting is developed, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013419096
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Desde antes do nascimento até muito além da morte: uma análise de conteúdo das dissertações e teses defendidas nos primeiros 25 anos do Programa de Pós-Graduação em Demografia do C...
Gomes, Marília Miranda Forte; Franceschini, Vanessa … - Centro de Desenvolvimento e Planejamento Regional … - 2009
dissertations of the graduate program in Demography at Cedeplar/UFMG between April 1989 and May 2009. More specifically, the paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008515074
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A numerical model of Philippine population growth: child policy, quantitative insights and challenges
Talabis, Dylan Antonio; Manay, Erick Justine; Babierra, … - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013
The study investigates the effect of imposing an n-child policy by forecasting the population of the Philippines using a discrete age-structured compartmental model. Based on the results of the projection, a policy promoting a maximum of two children per couple leads to a transient stabilization...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011113041