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-specific output gaps and inflation rates, we find that performance of the optimal policy rule can be closely approximated by a very … simple rule that targets a weighted average of aggregate wage and price inflation rates. In contrast, some commonly …-prescribed policy rules (such as strict price inflation targeting and Taylor's rule) perform very poorly in terms of social welfare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320201
the monetary policy rule while the true output gap influences aggregate demand and inflation. I investigate the … produce a hump-shaped pattern in trend inflation that peaks around 1979 and a downward movement in trend inflation since 1995 …. Under a nominal income growth rule, these low-frequency movements in inflation are substantially reduced but not eliminated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014156902
pertinent institutions in early work on political business cycles, and then proceeds to a discussion of the inflation … inflation policy targets. The last section addresses current developments. These include the proper choice of monetary policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014055114
Since the early 1980s, the United States economy has changed in some important ways: Inflation now rises considerably … less when unemployment falls and the volatility of output and inflation have fallen sharply. This paper examines whether … volatility of monetary policy reaction functions can account for most or all of the change in the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014068040
This paper proposes a tractable New Keynesian (NK) economy with endogenous adjustment in product quality that nests the canonical framework. Endogenous quality choice reduces the slope of the traditional NK Phillips curve and amplifies the economy’s response to productivity shocks. This leads...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014080687
This paper studies fiscal policy in a New Keynesian DSGE model with endogenous technology growth in which scarring can occur endogenously through hysteresis effects in TFP. Both demand- and supply-driven recessions can weaken investment in R&D and technology adoption, thus depressing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013463787
A vast literature has documented how US inflation persistence has fallen in recent decades, but this finding is … difficult to explain in monetary models. Using survey data on inflation expectations, I document a positive co-movement between … that inflation is more persistent in periods of greater forecast sluggishness. My results suggest that changes in firm …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014257236
found to help rationalizing the hump-shaped response of inflation, without resorting to the counterfactual assumption of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094533
study the transmission mechanism. With matching frictions, wage rigidities have limited effect on inflation dynamics … opposite ways leaving marginal costs and inflation virtually unaffected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129895
In this paper we investigate the impact of the recent US unemployment benefits extension on the labor market dynamic when the nominal interest rate is held at the zero lower bound (ZLB). Using a New Keynesian model, our quantitative experiments suggest that, in contrast to the existing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010251606