Pino, Francisco; Vidal-Robert, Jordi - European Centre for Advanced Research in Economics and … - 2014
, which we exploit to analyze the causal effect of a divided conclaveon conflict. We find that an increase of one standard … deviation in our measure ofpolarization raised the likelihood of internal conflict by between 2 and 3 percentin a given year and … the largest and oldest organizations from violent conflict to religiousmatters. …