There are significant effects of changing demographics on economic indicators: growth in GDP especially, but also the current account balance and gross capital formation. The 15-24 age group appears to be one of the key age groups in these effects, with increases in that age group exerting...

The most widely accepted explanation for the inverse association between private investments and current accounts [Glick and Rogoff, 1995] rests on data for manufactures through 1990. Is this consensus robust to revisions to the national accounts and the expansion of information technologies...

This short essay surveys recent literature on the competitive saving motive and its broader economic implications. The competitive saving motive is defined as saving to improve one's status relative to other competitors for dating and marriage partners. Here are some of the key results of the...

In this article, we analyze the factors and circumstances behind the slowdown of Russia's economic growth. The recovery phase that followed the 2008-9 crisis has ended. The raw materials export model of production has reached its limit for rapid growth. The reduced flow of monetary and financial...

This paper studies the industrial structure change induced by factor endowment changes, and explores the linkage between structural coherence and economic growth. Here structural coherence is defined as the degree that a country's industrial structure optimally reflects its factor endowment...

The purpose of this paper is to test the dependency of domestic investment on domestic saving in the Feldstein-Horioka spirit. Our innovation is to use a de nition of investment that does not include foreign direct investment. We do so since FDI should not be considered in the intertemporal...

Over the past 15 years, long-term interest rates have declined to levels not seen since the 1970s. This paper explores possible shifts in global savings and investment that have led to this fall in the world real interest rate. There are several key findings. First, the authors identify the...

Over the past 15 years, long-term interest rates have declined to levels not seen since the 1970s. This paper explores possible shifts in global savings and investment that have led to this fall in the world real interest rate. There are several key findings. First, the authors identify the...

Cross-country regressions suggest little connection from foreign capital inflows to more rapid economic growth for developing countries and emerging markets. This suggests that the lack of domestic savings is not the primary constraint on growth in these economies, as implicitly assumed in the...