Juhn, Chinhui; Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem; Turan, Belgi - Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) - 2009
The historical pattern of the demographic transition suggests that fertility declines follow mortality declines …, followed by a rise in human capital accumulation and economic growth. The HIV/AIDS epidemic threatens to reverse this path. A … recent paper by Young (2005), however, suggests that similar to the "Black Death" episode in Europe, HIV/AIDS will actually …