We provide a critical assessment of the method used by the Cleveland Fed to correct expected inflation derived from index-linked bonds for liquidity and inflation risk premia and show how their method can be adapted to account for time-varying inflation risk premia. Furthermore, we show how...

Using a time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) with a new sign restriction framework, we study the changing effectiveness of the Bank of Japan's Quantitative Easing policies over time. We analyse the Zero-Interest Rate Policy from 1999 to 2000, the Quantitative Easing Policy from...

Die neuesten Wirtschaftsdaten und -prognosen deuten auf eine Rückkehr der Rezession hin. Lässt sich das erneute Abgleiten in eine Wirtschafts- und Finanzkrise vermeiden? Sebastian Watzka, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, sieht Möglichkeiten, durch energisches und glaubhaftes Handeln...

Die Europäische Zentralbank hat im Zuge der Finanzkrise und der sich verschlechternden realwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung im Euroraum die Leitzinsen auf ein historisches Allzeittief gesenkt. Welche Risiken birgt die Niedrigzinspolitik? Nach Ansicht von Michael Schubert, Commerzbank AG, Frankfurt...

We examine the effects of the Asset Purchase Programme (APP) gradually introduced by the European Central Bank from September 2014 onwards. Studying the short-term reaction of financial markets after APP press releases, we analyse the development of bond yields and spreads around these releases....

In this note we elaborate on the effect of the modeling choice of the zero lower bound on the size of the fiscal multiplier. To this end we contrast two different ways to implement the ZLB in a New Keynesian model: the ZLB modeled as an endogenous central bank reaction to a contractionary demand...

We analyze the link between financial development and income inequality for a broad unbalanced dataset of 138 developed and developing countries over the years 1960 to 2008. Using credit-to-GDP as measure of financial development, our results reject theoretical models predicting a negative...

Households in some European countries increased their indebtedness massively over the past 20 years. Besides household debt, also government debt and corporate debt are in some countries at levels not seen before. While there is a common agreement that these high debt levels are not sustainable...

This paper takes a close look at one of the possible causes of Spain’s severe crisis and studies the extent to which the increase in Spanish unemployment is due to the effects of household balance sheet effects. By estimating proxies for housing net worth shocks as well as household sector...

Die Corona-Krise hat die sozialen Probleme in Europa schonungslos offengelegt und deutlich gemacht, wie unverzichtbar eine Stärkung der sozialen Dimension der EU ist. Der Report zeigt auf, welche Schritte dafür notwendig sind. Ziel ist eine Stärkung der Säulen des Europäischen...