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This paper shows how uninsurable unemployment risk is crucial to qualitatively and quantitatively match macro responses … to uncertainty shocks. Empirically, uncertainty shocks i) generate deflationary pressure; ii) have considerably negative … jointly attain these results. Uncertainty shocks induce households' precautionary saving and firms' precautionary pricing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012296809
(2005). We extend it by unemployment risk using Markov chains to model the transition between different employment states …, short-term as well as long-term unemployment. This allows us to examine the effects of persistence in the unemployment … process on portfolio choice. Our main findings are, first, that in case of short-term unemployment only, social security …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291783
Households can rely on private savings or on public unemployment insurance to hedge against the risk of becoming … effects of unemployment on the portfolio choice of households in the US and in Germany. We distinguish short- and long …-term unemployment and find that, in case of short-term unemployment, unemployment insurance offsets the negative impact of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286436
We estimate the changes in US male labor market risk over the last three decades in a model of endogenous labor supply and job mobility. Across education groups permanent shocks to productivity have become more dispersed. Moreover, heterogeneity in pay across offered jobs has increased for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011595910
We estimate the changes in US male labor market risk over the last three decades in a model of endogenous labor supply and job mobility. Across education groups permanent shocks to productivity have become more dispersed. Moreover, heterogeneity in pay across offered jobs has increased for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966057
Using German panel data, we assess the causal effect of job loss, and thus of an extensive income shock, on risk attitude. In line with predictions of expected utility reasoning about absolute risk aversion, losing oneś job reduces the willingness to take risks. This effect strengthens in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011405097
larger earnings fluctuations than employees and that they frequently transition into unemployment. Given that the self …-employed are not eligible to unemployment insurance, I analyze the provision of benefits targeted at these risks using a calibrated … heterogeneity. This exercise suggests that extending the current U.S. unemployment insurance scheme to the self-employed comes with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014464421
We quantify the importance of precautionary labor supply using data from the German Socio- Economic Panel (SOEP) for 2001-2012. We estimate dynamic labor supply equations augmented with a measure of wage risk. Our results show that married men choose about 2.5% of their hours of work or one week...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011483095
We quantify the importance of precautionary labor supply using data from the German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP) for 2001-2012. We estimate dynamic labor supply equations augmented with a measure of wage risk. Our results show that married men choose about 2.5% of their hours of work or one week...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011509111
We quantify the importance of precautionary labor supply using data from the German Socio- Economic Panel (SOEP) for 2001-2012. We estimate dynamic labor supply equations augmented with a measure of wage risk. Our results show that married men choose about 2.5% of their hours of work or one week...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011497053