To evaluate the price forecasts, we use two data frequencies i.e., annual and quarter with two most demanding techniques, i.e., ARIMA and VAR models to forecast the four index of inflation, named, Consumer Price Index (CPI), Wholesale Price Index (WPI), GNP Price Deflator (GNPPD), and Implicit...

We study Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness of fit tests for evaluating distributional hypotheses where unknown parameters need to be fitted. Following work of Pollard (1979), our approach uses a Cramér-von Mises minimum distance estimator for parameter estimation. The asymptotic null distribution of...

We derive restrictions for Granger noncausality in Markov-switching vector autoregressive models and also show under which conditions a variable does not affect the forecast of the hidden Markov process. Based on Bayesian approach to evaluating the hypotheses, the computational tools for...

We propose a procedure for testing simple hypotheses on a subset of the structural parameters in linear instrumental variables models. Our test is valid uniformly over a large class of distributions allowing for identification failure and heteroskedasticity. The large-sample distribution of our...

In this paper we use Monte Carlo sampling experiments to examine the properties of pretest estimators in the random parameters logit (RPL) model. The pretests are for the presence of random parameters. We study the Lagrange multiplier (LM), likelihood ratio (LR), and Wald tests, using...

This paper considers two-sided tests for the parameter of an endogenous variable in an instrumental variable (IV) model with heteroskedastic and autocorrelated errors. We develop the finite-sample theory of weighted-average power (WAP) tests with normal errors and a known long-run variance. We...

The commodity market has been becoming one of the main popular segments of the financial markets among individual and institutional investors in recent years. Likely to the equity market, the problem of anomalies in the commodities market is becoming an interesting phenomenon, especially in the...

Since the early 2000s, global liquidity has experienced very strong growth. Emerging Markets (EMs) have accumulated large foreign exchange reserves while developed markets have dramatically eased their monetary policies. Global excess liquidity has resulted in an increase in the size of...

The Japanese banking crisis in the late 1990s has been considered a significant turning point in the history of Japanese banking system and has attracted researcher's interest to study the increase of bad debt on Japanese banks' balance sheets leading to the crisis of the 1990s. Here we...