Motivated by issues raised in both the finance and economics literatures, I construct a dynamic general equilibrium model where agents use differing degrees of sophistication when forecasting future economic conditions. All agents solve standard dynamic optimization problems and face strategic...

The economy, either in whole or in part, is a policy space of networks, which are installed to better enable people to fulfill their potentials and to realize their aspirations. However, there are gaps in the knowledge for ensuring that this search for a great transition, in terms of the...

This paper solves for the profit maximising strategy of a durable-goods monopolist when incoming demand varies over time. Each period, additional consumers enter the market; these consumers can then choose whether and when to purchase. We first characterise the consumer's utility maximisation...

This chapter surveys the literature on the microstructure of housing markets. It considers one-sided search, random matching, and directed search models. It also examines the bargaining that takes place once a match has occurred, with the bargaining taking various forms, including two-party...

How important are local country conditions to firms' operations performance, as revealed in their inventory levels? Under a "flat world" hypothesis, differences in firms' inventory levels are explained more by differences among industries and firms themselves, rather than differences among...

The idea that information frictions amplify business cycles is hard to evaluate because information is not easily measured. We propose a quantifiable information friction that amplifies output fluctuations. In our simple model of decentralized trade, income dispersion measures uncertainty about...

Sebastian de la Fuente is the sixth largest supermarket chain in the Basque region of Spain. It has a novel dataset of 108,605 observations on 3,745 SKUs, collected for almost 2 1/2 years. I find the bullwhip effect in the data: at least 80% of the SKUs have a bigger variance in supplies than...

A benevolent planner chooses optimally whether and how to disclose publicly a private forecast of fundamentals to a large number of informed small agents. These agents interact in economic environments with information frictions, strategic complementarity or substitutability in actions, and a...

In this paper, I explore how optimal aggregate dynamics can be shaped by the presence of moral hazard in unemployment insurance. I also analyze the optimal provision of unemployment insurance and the implications for the amount of cross-sectional heterogeneity. The economy that I consider embeds...

To extend and monitor loans, banks collect detailed and proprietary information about the financial prospects of their customers, many of whom are local businesses and households. Therefore, banks’ loan portfolios contain potentially useful information about local economic conditions. We...