The consistent threshold estimation method is used to improve the threshold specification of the Granger-Lee asymmetric error correction model. Although only previously considered in the context of univariate analysis, the approach is found to uncover asymmetry undetected under the typical...

This paper argues that factor demand linkages can be important for the transmission of both sectoral and aggregate shocks. We show this using a panel of highly disaggregated manufacturing sectors together with sectoral structural VARs. When sectoral interactions are explicitly accounted for, a...

The transparency and openness of the monetary policy-making process at the Bank of England has provided very detailed information on both the decisions of individual members of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) and the information on which they are based. In this paper, we consider this...

This paper provides an empirical analysis of changes in real house prices in the USA using State level data. It examines the extent to which real house prices at the State level are driven by fundamentals such as real per capita disposable income, as well as by common shocks, and determines the...

This paper provides a method for the analysis of the spatial and temporal diffusion of shocks in a dynamic system. We use changes in real house prices within the UK economy at the level of regions to illustrate its use. Adjustment to shocks involves both a region specific and a spatial effect....

This paper argues that important insights into the business cycle can be obtained by exploring the micro-structure of macroeconomic fluctuations. We fit firm-level growth data with the Asymmetric Exponential Power density, which accounts for asymmetric dispersion and kurtosis on either side of...

type="main" <p>It is widely believed that setting monetary policy through a majority voting committee has major benefits. A monetary policy committee can take personalities out of monetary policy decisions. Critical to understanding these claims is an assessment of how such a committee functions....</p>

This paper investigates the macroeconomic benefits of international financial integration and domestic financial sector development for the European Union. The sample consists of 26 European countries with annual data during the period 1970.2004. We attempt to exploit more fully the temporal...

This paper investigates why the U.K. has experienced steadily higher unemployment at cyclical peaks since 1965 using a structural model of the U.K. labor market. The mo del emphasizes the differences in experience and structure of the man ufacturing and nonmanufacturing private sectors using a...