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the causal connection between lack of exposure to commercial trade and proclivity to sudden stops. On the theoretical … front, I show how exposure to trade raises the creditworthiness of countries and reduces the probability of sudden stops. In … debt is more attractive. Therefore, conditional on the amount that lenders are willing to loan, decreased exposure to trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003258546
the causal connection between lack of exposure to commercial trade and proclivity to sudden stops. On the theoretical … front, I show how exposure to trade raises the creditworthiness of countries and reduces the probability of sudden stops. In … debt is more attractive. Therefore, conditional on the amount that lenders are willing to loan, decreased exposure to trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397715
Openness to trade is one factor that has been identified as determining whether a country is prone to sudden stops in … problem that trade is endogenous. Using the gravity instrument for trade openness, which is constructed from geographical … determinants of bilateral trade, this paper finds that openness indeed makes countries less vulnerable, both to severe sudden stops …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278282
the causal connection between lack of exposure to commercial trade and proclivity to sudden stops. On the theoretical … front, the paper shows how exposure to trade raises the creditworthiness of countries and reduces the probability of sudden … trade increases the likelihood of default. A sudden stop takes place when the borrowers reject the amount that lenders want …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003775779
study estimates theoretically founded trade balance reaction functions for a panel of seventy countries from 1970-2004. The … empirical analysis finds that adjustment in integrated economies is slower. Consistent with the presented theory the trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316759
Sudden stops in capital inflows were a main characteristic of the emerging market crisis during the 1990's. Concerns about them have recurred in the light of recently increased global stability risk and the quantitative easing that led to substantial capital inflows in emerging economies. We add...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199563
Openness to trade is one factor that has been identified as determining whether a country is prone to sudden stops in … problem that trade is endogenous. Using the gravity instrument for trade openness, which is constructed from geographical … determinants of bilateral trade, this paper finds that openness indeed makes countries less vulnerable, both to severe sudden stops …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003776337
This paper analyses the short- and long-term effects of geopolitical uncertainty on cross-border portfolio flows between the US and 41 developed and emerging economies over the period January 1992-November 2022. We find that geopolitical uncertainty decreases equity inflows from other countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015065292
We study international business cycles and capital flows in the UK, the United States and the Emerging Periphery in the period 1885-1939. Based on the same set of parameters, our model explains current account dynamics under both the Classical Gold Standard and during the Interwar period. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316919
study estimates theoretically founded trade balance reaction functions for a panel of seventy countries from 1970-2004. The … empirical analysis finds that adjustment in integrated economies is slower. Consistent with the presented theory the trade …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003891878