We introduce a methodology for measuring default risk connectedness that is based on an out-of-sample variance decomposition of model forecast errors. The out-of-sample nature of the procedure leads to "realized" measures which, in practice, respond more quickly to crisis occurrences than those...

This paper examines the influence of political risk guarantees of bilateral investment treaties on debt and equity flows using panel data on middle income countries for the period 1984-2011. Adopting system GMM methodology, the paper empirically finds that ratified bilateral investment treaties...

Lack of transparency in securitization transactions significantly contributed to the severe financial crisis of 20072009. To increase transparency we propose a new mechanism: financial claims with fingerprints. They would allow market participants at each stage of the securitization process to...

This paper shows that geographical investor heterogeneity strongly influences sovereign risk. While standard sovereign debt models mainly attribute the absence of sovereign defaults to foreign creditor retaliation, a new theoretical literature argues that domestic creditors also affect borrowing...

We examine the role of bilateral political relations in sovereign wealth fund (SWF) investment decisions. Our empirical results suggest that political relations play a role in SWF decision making. Contrary to predictions based on the FDI and political relations literature, we find that relative...

The 1994 Mexican banking crisis led to wholesale changes in the deposit insurance fund in the country's banking system. Poor lending decisions allowed banks to transfer risk to the fund, resulting in their capturing returns on performing loans, while limiting downside exposure when the fund...

The National Asset Management Agency (NAMA) was created in 2009 by the Irish authorities with the expressed objective of assisting in the process of repairing domestic Irish banking sector in the aftermath of the severe banking and property crisis that started in late 2007 and continues largely...

The paper reviews the origins and complexity of the ongoing Eurozone debt crisis in which bank bad debts and government debts have become intertwined in a ‘Doom Loop'. It reports on a ‘Round Table'(panel) discussion chaired by the author on behalf of the UK's Money, Macro, Finance Research...

Country practices towards managing financial risks on a sovereign balance sheet continue to evolve. Each crisis period, and its legacy on sovereign balance sheets, reaffirms the need for strengthening financial risk management. This paper discusses some salient features embedded in in the...