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We develop a closed economy model to study the interactions among sovereign risk premia, fiscal limits, and fiscal policy. The stochastic fiscal limits, which measure the ability and willingness of the government to service its debt, arise endogenously from a dynamic Laffer curve. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008933594
We show that the correct experiment to evaluate the effects of a fiscal adjustment is the simulation of a multi year fiscal plan rather than of individual fiscal shocks. Simulation of fiscal plans adopted by 16 OECD countries over a 30-year period supports the hypothesis that the effects of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010463614
In this paper we analyze the dynamics of public investment and public finance in new members of the European Union, and also how these sectors were affected by changes in economic freedom and corruption. When we assess the role of regulation and corruption on public investment, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135010
We examine the historical dynamics of government debt in post-unification Italy,from 1861 to 2009. Unit root tests for the debt-GDP ratio are unable to reject either the non-stationarity or the stationarity null hypothesis. Controlling debt dynamics for fiscal feedback policies of the Barro-Bohn...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097337
Studies suggest that fiscal multipliers are currently high in many advanced economies. One important implication is that fiscal tightening could raise the debt ratio in the short term, as fiscal gains are partly wiped out by the decline in output. Although this effect is not long-lasting and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013084149
We examine the historical dynamics of government debt in post-unification Italy, from 1861 to 2009. Unit root tests for the debt-GDP ratio are unable to reject either the non-stationary or the stationary null hypothesis. Controlling debt dynamics for fiscal feedback policies of the Barro-Bohn...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065761
We develop a closed economy model in order to study the interactions among sovereign risk premia, fiscal limits and fiscal policy. Default risk premia reflect the market's expectations about the ability and willingness of the government to service its debt. The government's ability arises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013154674
Using loan-level data covering 15 advanced economies over 1990–2014, we show that the cost of credit increases with fiscal consolidations. This increase is observed with both tax hikes and spending cuts, and is smaller when the consolidation is large. The cost of credit goes up with tax hikes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012905405
This paper discusses the short- and medium-term fiscal implications of government wage bill spending. Working with a sample of 137 advanced, emerging and low-income countries, we use a panel VAR approach to identify differences in the dynamic behavior of revenues, non wage expenditures, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012892906
A large literature has examined the relationship between financial development and economic growth. However; limited work has been done on the macroeconomic determinants of financial development. This paper examines how fiscal policy contributes to financial deepening particularly giving...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940384