We show that higher interconnectivity among financial intermediaries induces banks to choose more leverage. Although this leads to higher investment growth, the banking sector becomes more vulnerable to aggregate shocks (crises). We also show that learning about the likelihood of a crisis could...

Using monthly data on temporary trade barriers (TTBs), we estimate the dynamic em- ployment effects of protectionism through vertical production linkages. First, exploiting high- frequency data and TTB procedural details, we identify trade policy shocks exogenous to eco- nomic fundamentals. We...