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for main indices from stock exchanges was conducted. The VaR forecasts from GARCH(1,1), GARCH-t(1,1), GARCH-st(1,1), QML-GARCH … volatility trend. However, GARCH-st (1,1) and QML-GARCH(1,1) were found to be the most robust models in the different volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012011844
Forecasting volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer from many limitations. HF data feature microstructure problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819006
, namely, GARCH (1,1), GJR (1,1) and EGARCH (1,1), are used to estimate the abnormal rate of change in the number of tourists …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819518
-Maximum Likelihood Estimator for a general nonlinear conditional mean model with first-order GARCH errors. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011858424
cryptocurrencies, i.e. Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple and Litecoin. More than 1,000 GARCH models are fitted to the log returns of the … well as using a Model Confidence Set (MCS) procedure for their loss functions. The results imply that using standard GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011931917
trading as a policy measure. Applying combined jump GARCH models yields strong evidence of conditional jump behavior. This …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266050
GARCH in order to characterize the behavior of daily, weekly as well as monthly oil prices. Secondly, it relates its … characterized by GARCH as well as conditional jump behavior and that a considerable portion of the total variance is triggered by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278896
error distribution were incorporated in the GARCH (2,1) and EGARCH (2,1) models. Result reveals that day-of-the-week effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011478766
This paper examines exchange-rate volatility with GARCH models using monthly exchange-rate return series from 1985:1 to … compare estimates of variants of GARCH models with break in respect of the US dollar rates with exogenously determined break … estimation of volatility models with breaks as against those of GARCH models without volatility breaks and that the introduction …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482587
This paper attempts to fit the best Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH) model for All Share … Index (ASI) of Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) returns. A search is made on various GARCH variants specified on the … and non-normality of GARCH innovations, with models and forecasts evaluated using information criteria and loss functions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482591