Showing 211 - 220 of 34,772
This paper analysis the vulnerability of the OECD member states to external shocks by estimating the degree of asymmetric effects from positive and negative shocks. We use asymmetric conditional heteroscedasticity models with endogenously determined regime changes in a context of progressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010699750
described by a low-order ARIMA model, with a parcimonious GARCH specification of the conditional variance. These ARIMA models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010701168
The GARCH(1,1) model and its extensions have become a standard econometric tool for modeling volatility dynamics of … financial returns and port-folio risk. In this paper, we propose an adjustment of GARCH implied conditional value-at-risk and … comparisons for a set of 18 stock market indices. In total, four competing copula-GARCH models are contrasted against each other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010632797
Among the many controversial variables in finance, risk premia stand out for their lack of observability. Measuring premia as the difference between realized returns on risky and risk-free assets has not led to unanimous conclusions about their size, which greatly depends on the length of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005113528
mentioned, and various extensions of the standard GARCH model are highlighted. This includes the Exponential GARCH model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004961390
This paper investigates sensitivity of U.S. natural gas price to crude oil price changes, using time-varying coefficient models. Identification of the range of variation of the sensitivity of natural gas price to oil price change allows more accurate assessment of upper and minimum risk levels...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004961504
aggregation of GARCH processes of Drost and Nijman (1993). Using Swedish data, our estimation method produces an overall larger …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005196925
uncertainty in five European countries. Using the GARCH methodology to proxy uncertainty, we obtain two important results. First …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005481542
to different models including a GARCH specification for the conditional variance of log(RV). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005704731
highly dependent on the magnitude of shocks themselves. Markov-Switching GARCH (MS-GARCH) models are a valuable tool for … dynamics, it is here suggested to use a modification of the component GARCH model proposed by Ding and Granger (1996) in which … lagged values of the conditional standard deviation. Differently from MS-GARCH models, likelihood based inference for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005706195