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of ARCH effect has been tried to predict with conditional variance models such as ARCH (1), ARCH (2), ARCH (3), GARCH (1 …,1), GARCH (1,2), GARCH (1,3), GARCH (2,1), GARCH (2,2), EGARCH (1,1) and EGARCH (1,2). While the obtained findings indicate that … the best model is in the direction of GARCH (1,1) according to Akaike info criterion, it was found that GARCH (1,1) model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382180
, such as GARCH models, are investigated, to determine if they are more appropriate for predicting future return volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767118
Both unconditional mixed-normal distributions and GARCH models with fat-tailed conditional distributions have been … employed for modeling financial return data. We consider a mixed-normal distribution coupled with a GARCH-type structure which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767120
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191413
over a small time frame (e.g., a crisis period). We apply our method to test GARCH model specifications for a large panel …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010250513
This paper proposes efficient estimators of risk measures in a semiparametric GARCH model defined through moment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009620388
heteroscedasticity (GARCH)-type models to forecast oil price volatility over the time periods from January 02, 1875 to December 31, 1895 … outperformed by other models, with long memory GARCH-type models coming out second best. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488966
In this paper we show the validity of the adaptive LASSO procedure in estimating stationary ARDL(p,q) models with GARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010505034
We study the asymptotic properties of the Adaptive LASSO (adaLASSO) in sparse, high-dimensional, linear time-series models. We assume that both the number of covariates in the model and the number of candidate variables can increase with the sample size (polynomially or geometrically). In other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010505038
Heteroskedasticity (ARCH) effects existence. For this reason Generalized GARCH models are estimated. Two approaches are followed. The … higher seasonality in volatility rather on average returns. For this reason the Periodic-GARCH (1,1) is estimated. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010509192