Showing 81 - 90 of 34,538
We study the impact of news embedded in scheduled macroeconomic announcements on the government bond market in Poland and the Czech Republic. We conduct an event study on intraday data and time-series regressions using daily data over an eight-year period, distinguishing between effects under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011340610
Volatility (SV) and Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models which are both extended to include … outperforms the GARCH model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324972
quarterly basis - for commonly used GARCH models in a large-scale study, using more than twelve years (2000-2012) of daily … following conclusions. First, updating the parameter estimates of the GARCH equation on a daily frequency improves only … overlap, reflecting that the performance is not significantly different. Second, the asymmetric GARCH model with non …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326343
GARCH models which capture volatility clustering and, therefore, are appropriate to analyse financial market data. Models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331352
We compare small-sample properties of Bayes estimation and maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of ARMA-GARCH models … method of testing strict stationarity and ergodicity of the conditional variance in the GARCH(1,1) process, near epoch … depencenve (NED), and finiteness of unconditional moments of the GARCH(1,1) process by using a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334349
Does a multilateral fiscal rule improve market discipline in a monetary union? This paper studies the impact of political events that systematically undermined the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) on EMU sovereign default risk for the period 2001 to 2005. For various EMU member countries our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334513
This paper studies the impact of political events that systematically undermined the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) on the euro's foreign exchange expectation bias for the period 2001 to 2005. Our findings suggest that euro foreign exchange markets were attentive to the political dispute over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334518
Conditional heteroskedasticity is an important feature of many macroeconomic and financial time series. Standard residual-based bootstrap procedures for dynamic regression models treat the regression eroor as i.i.d. These procedures are invalid in the presence of conditional heteroskedasticity....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604242
heteroscedasticity GARCH (1, 1) model. Also, to control if political uncertainty before the elections influences the return of MBI 10, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984759
We introduce SRISK to measure the systemic risk contribution of a financial firm. SRISK measures the capital shortfall of a firm conditional on a severe market decline, and is a function of its size, leverage and risk. We use the measure to study top US financial institutions in the recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984820