Arezki, Rabah; Ramey, Valerie A; Sheng, Liugang - Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource-Rich … - 2015
This paper explores the effect of news shocks on the current account and other macroeconomic variables using worldwide giant oil discoveries as a directly observable measure of news shocks about future output ̶ the delay between a discovery and production is on average 4 to 6 years. We first...