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Short-Term Estimates of Euro Area Real GDP by Means of Monthly Data

Sédillot, Franck; Rünstler, Gerhard - 2021

examine GDP forecasts under different amounts of monthly information. We find that already a limited amount of monthly … information improves the predictions for current-quarter GDP growth to a considerable extent, compared with ARIMA forecasts …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319574

Konjunkturprognosen: Verfahren, Erfolgskontrolle und Prognosefehler

Grömling, Michael - 2005

The economic forecasts for Germany in the period 2001 to 2003 grossly missed reality. Forecasters estimated an average … Germany even shrank by 0.1 per cent. Forecasters tend to be generally optimistic. The analysis of the forecasts in the years … arguments which may explain forecast errors: data revisions, unpredictable events, behavioural and political feedback and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010262887

Do high-frequency financial data help forecast oil prices? : the MIDAS touch at work

Baumeister, Christiane; Guérin, Pierre; Kilian, Lutz - 2013

The substantial variation in the real price of oil since 2003 has renewed interest in the question of how to forecast monthly and quarterly oil prices. There also has been increased interest in the link between financial markets and oil markets, including the question of whether financial market...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010203447

Real-time Data for Norway: Challenges for Monetary Policy

Bernhardsen, Tom; Eitrheim, Øyvind; Jore, Anne Sofie; … - 2004

. We describe the nature of the data revisions, the causes of the revisions, and investigate whether the revisions are true … revisions and model uncertainty affect the reliability of output gap estimates. We also compare Taylor type interest rate rules …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295653

Energy Demand and Supply Issues - Scenario 2020 and Implications for CDM in West African Economic and Monetary Union. Case Study: Benin, Burkina Faso, Niger and Togo

Satoguina, Honorat - 2006

The present study discusses energy supply challenge and assesses renewable energy potential in the studied countries. Moreover, energy demand as well as demand projection is assessed until 2020. Resulting CO2-eq emissions are also projected. The study reveals that the countries under examination...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295548

Path-breaking directions of nanotechnology-based chemotherapy and molecular cancer therapy

Coccia M.; Wang L. - United Nations University-Maastricht Economic Research … - 2014

A fundamental question is how to detect likely successful anticancer treatments based on nanotechnology. We confront this question here by analysing the trajectories of nanotechnologies applied to path-breaking cancer treatments, which endeavour to pinpoint ground-breaking and fruitful...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010856405

Energy Demand and Supply Issues - Scenario 2020 and Implications for CDM in West African Economic and Monetary Union. Case Study: Benin, Burkina Faso, Niger and Togo

Satoguina, Honorat - HWWA Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung - 2006

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957392

Market Analysis of Key Manufacturing Segments Using News Data

Hong, Sung Wook; Min, Seong-hwan - 2023

This paper examines the use and viability of unstructured data in forecasting the real economy inorder to quickly understand the current situation and trends in the real economy in light of growinguncertainty both domestically and externally. To extract an index utilizing news data, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014263152

Real-time macroeconomic data and uncertainty

Glass, Katharina; Fritsche, Ulrich - 2015

Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011341024

Real-Time Information Content of Macroeconomic Data and Uncertainty: An Application to the Euro Area

Glass, Katharina; Fritsche, Ulrich - 2014

Most macroeconomic data is continuously revised as additional information becomes available. We suggest that revisions …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010420867