We develop a theory of foreign exchange interventions in the presence of limited capital mobility. We study a real small open economy subject to global liquidity and endowment shocks. Home and foreign bond markets are segmented and intermediaries have a limited capacity to arbitrage between both...

The literature on the determinants of the rate of current account reversion has been limited to examining the role of exchange rate regimes. We propose that the degree of coordination of wage bargaining affects the speed of current account adjustment. Our point estimates are economically and...

This paper examines the relation between exchange rates and prices in India over three periods, 1975-1986, 1992-1998 and 1999-2010. These periods which are marked with changing trading and monetary policy regimes provide an interesting case study to analyze the importance of openness and...

Equilibrium exchange rate theories (FEER, BEER and NATREX) make the assumption that the Real Equilibrium Exchange Rate (RER) is independent from internal equilibrium and economic policies. We develop a model in which economic policies depend on the minimisation of an intertemporal loss function...

Forecasting exchange rates remains a tricky issue for economists. In spite of a theoretical consistent framework, macroeconomic models fail to beat random walk models and market expectations doesn't have any predictive power. This article addresses some problems of exchange rate macroeconomic...

We study the main shocks driving current account fluctuations for the G6 economies. Our theoretical framework features a standard two-goods inter-temporal model, which is specifically designed to uncover the role of permanent and temporary output shocks and the relation between the real exchange...

This paper develops an intertemporal model of the current account that allows for variable interest rates and exchange rates. These additional variables are channels through which external shocks may influence the domestic current account. We test the restrictions imposed by the theory, using...

Nominal exchange rates strongly co-move. However, little is known about the economic source of common variation. This paper examines how international trade links nominal exchange rates. First, I document that two countries that trade more intensively with each other have more correlated...

We document the exchange rate hedging channel that connects country-level measures of net external financial imbalances with exchange rates. In times of market distress, countries with large positive external imbalances (e.g. Japan) experience domestic currency appreciation, and crucially,...

We isolate a U.S. dollar currency premium by comparing corporate bonds issued in the dollar and the euro by firms o utside t he U .S. a nd e uro a rea. We make s everal empirical observations that dissect the perceived advantage of borrowing in the dollar. First, while the dollar dominates...