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derived. The reason is that inflation, output and the interest rate are convex functions of each member's idiosyncratic degree … of model uncertainty. If the degree of model uncertainty becomes more heterogenous, inflation volatility falls due to … identical to those derived from a Bayesian approach. -- Robustness ; Model Uncertainty ; Monetary Policy Committee ; Optimal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003980593
derived. The reason is that inflation, output and the interest rate are convex functions of each member’s idiosyncratic degree … of model uncertainty. If the degree of model uncertainty becomes more heterogenous, inflation volatility falls due to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008542704
for robustness leads to a more aggressive policy. Increasing the weight attached to interest rate smoothing raises the … degree of aggressiveness. Our results indicate that a preference for robustness crucially depends on the way different types …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298839
This paper compares the welfare effects of anticipated and unanticipated cost-push shocks in the canonical New Keynesian model with optimal monetary policy. We find that, for empirically plausible degrees of nominal rigidity, the anticipation of a future cost-push shock leads to a higher welfare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298769
This paper compares the welfare effects of anticipated and unanticipated cost-push shocks within the canonical New Keynesian model with optimal monetary policy. We find that, for empirically plausible degrees of nominal rigidity, the anticipation of a future cost-push shock leads to a higher...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277242
-run inflation rate is positive and between 0.5% and 1.5% per year. A positive long-run inflation rate helps the fast-growing new … without learning-by-doing in new firms predicts an optimal long-run inflation rate near zero. In a two-sector model with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010342838
area (EA) and the US. The estimations show that until mid-2014 the ECB's response to inflation was more forceful when … inflation was above 2% than below 2%. Since then, the ECB's policy can be characterised as symmetric, and we quantify the … bound and a low neutral real rate, and find that it prescribes a stronger response to inflation and the output gap when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012650006
We analyse the implications of asymmetric monetary policy rules by estimating Markovswitching DSGE models for the euro area (EA) and the US. The estimations show that until mid-2014 the ECB's response to in ation was more forceful when in ation was above 2% than below 2%. Since then, the ECB's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617047
Central banks face uncertainty about the true location of the effective lower bound (ELB) on nominal interest rates. We model optimal discretionary monetary policy during a liquidity trap when the central bank designs policy that is robust with respect to the location of the ELB. If the central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011992357
model provides micro-foundations for a nonlinear Phillips curve: the sensitivity of inflation to activity increases after … large shocks due to an endogenous rise in the frequency of price changes, as observed during the recent inflation surge. In … response to large cost-push shocks, optimal policy leverages the lower sacrifice ratio to reduce inflation and stabilize the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015071168