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crisis to East Asian countries, including Thailand. The international trade literature points out that trade concentration is … considered to be an important factor in the amplification of the effects of the crisis. Thailand was still greatly affected by … find that Thailand still has high exposure to the G3 markets. Simulation using the CGE model has also confirmed that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009512188
In this paper, the authors attempt to measure the importance of total trade concentration, which includes the effects through indirect linkages, and its connection to the transmission of external shocks experienced by the Thai economy.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010545930
Many empirical studies find little evidence to support trade linkages as a channel for crisis spillovers during the 2008–09 global financial crisis, although trade linkages were one of the most important crisis transmission channels during 1971–97. A reason that may explain why trade...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011009834
Despite performing very positively on some key macroeconomic indicators in recent years, the German economy is in grave disequilibrium if the high current account surplus is included in the analysis. The paper scrutinises the evolution of Germany's external surplus since the inception of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927093
We construct a new database which covers production and trade in 136 primary commodities and 24 manufacturing and service sectors for 145 countries. Using this new more granular data, we estimate spillover effects from plausible trade fragmentation scenarios in a new multi-country, multi-sector,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358436
The global financial and economic crisis revealed institutional weaknesses and structural problems of particular Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) countries. The crisis and slowdown that followed had an impact on their relative competitiveness. Financial and economic turbulences of recent years...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011107690
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260005
This paper presents empirical evidence on the diversification process concerning Polish exports (1994-2010), compared to European and global samples of countries. It analyzes both the commodity structure of Polish trade and the geographical diversification of Poland's trading partners. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011802050
This paper proposes a technique to decompose short-run fluctuations in the terms of trade. Using Ethiopia as an example, we decompose the commodity terms of trade into various components to measure the impact of price and volume shifts as well as export diversification. We use monthly data from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008662902
This paper examines the role of U.S. monetary policy in determining the incidence of emerging market crises. A negative binomial count model and a panel logit model are estimated to analyze the determinants of currency crises, banking crises, and sovereign defaults in a group of 27 emerging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012986221