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This paper presents the first analysis of the life course outcomes through late midlife (around age 55) for the participants of the iconic Perry Preschool Project, an experimental high-quality preschool program for disadvantaged African-American children in the 1960s. We discuss the design of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012059092
This paper proposes a novel and simple approach to compute daily Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) directly from high-frequency data. It assumes that financial logarithm prices are subordinated unifractal processes in the intrinsic time, which stochastically transforms the clock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012099231
We present an integration based procedure for predicting the distribution f of an indicator of interest in situations where, in addition to the sample data, one has access to covariates that are available for the entire population. The proposed method, based on similar ideas that have been used...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011933339
As a unified discipline, econometrics is still relatively young and has been transforming and expanding very rapidly over the past few decades. Major advances have taken place in the analysis of cross sectional data by means of semi-parametric and non-parametric techniques. Heterogeneity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276202
Numerous research papers have used Irish-only data to test for the presence of an investment gap for small- and medium … the investment patterns of Irish SMEs in a crosscountry context and test whether an investment gap is present when … and test the sensitivity of investment to this key fundamental for Ireland and other countries. We then estimate whether …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014540437
Classical regression analysis uses partial coefficients to measure the influences of some variables (regressors) on another variable (regressand). However, a descriptive point of view shows that these coefficients are very bad measures of influence. Their interpretation as an average change of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011496022
This paper constructs the probability space underlying the random variable of any time dependent econometric specification. The construction links concrete economic activity, both perceived and recorded, and econometric formulations. Furthermore, it is argued that the probability events...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011496032
Explained variance (R^2) is a familiar summary of the fit of a linear regression and has been generalized in various ways to multilevel (hierarchical) models. The multilevel models we consider in this paper are characterized by hierarchical data structures in which individuals are grouped into...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011496039
Various noninformative prior distributions have been suggested for scale parameters in hierarchical models. We construct a new folded-noncentral- t family of conditionally conjugate priors for hierarchical standard deviation parameters, and then consider noninformative and weakly informative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011496041
Based on the Partial Distribution (Feng Dai, 2001), a new model to price an asset (MPA) is given. Going a step further, this paper puts forward the Multivariate Partial Distribution (MPD) for the first time. By use of MPD, we could gain a new kind of model for pricing the group assets (MPGA), in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011496044