In many set-identified models, it is difficult to obtain a tractable characterization of the identified set. Therefore, researchers often rely on nonsharp identification conditions, and empirical results are often based on an outer set of the identified set. This practice is often viewed as...

This paper studies the design of optimal fiscal policy when a government that fully trusts the probability model of government expenditures faces a fearful public that forms pessimistic expectations. We identify two forces that shape our results. On the one hand, the government has an incentive...

In binary discrete regression models like logit or probit the omis-sion of a relevant regressor (even if it is orthogonal) depresses the re-maining b coefficients towards zero. For the probit model, Wooldridge(2002) has shown that this bias does not carry over to the effect ofthe regressor on...

The method for estimation and testing for cointegration put forward by Johansen assumes that the data are described by a vector autoregressive process. In this article we extend the data generating process to autoregressive moving average models without unit roots in the MA polynomial. We first...