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Several approaches for subset recovery and improved forecasting accuracy have been proposed and studied. One way is to … popular approaches in this research field is given by Lasso-type methods. An alternative approach is based on information … criteria. In contrast to the Lasso, these methods also work well in the case of highly correlated predictors. However, this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010580995
leading business cycle indicators in Russia and Germany. -- adaptive lasso ; elastic net ; forecasting ; genetic algorithms …Several approaches for subset recovery and improved forecasting accuracy have been proposed and studied. One way is to … popular approaches in this research field is given by Lasso-type methods. An alternative approach is based on information …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009630302
This study presents a first comparative analysis of Lasso-type (Lasso, adaptive Lasso, elastic net) and heuristic … subset selection methods. Although the Lasso has shown success in many situations, it has some limitations. In particular …, inconsistent results are obtained for pairwise highly correlated predictors. An alternative to the Lasso is constituted by model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010907957
The rapid development of artificial intelligence methods contributes to their wide applications for forecasting various …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584957
One of the most important factors to control for the achievements of investment portfolio returns is risk. If we only think that a 100% positive return is needed to recover a portfolio loss of 50%, we can understand why. With the advent of the exponential growth of technology usage in markets,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014254526
Business tendency survey indicators are widely recognized as a key instrument for business cycle forecasting. Their … leading indicator property is assessed with regard to forecasting industrial production in Russia and Germany. For this … forecasting performance of the leading indicators for both countries revealing marked differences between Russia and Germany. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286389
forecasting macroeconomic key variables such as GDP. However, the DFM has some weaknesses. For nowcasting, the dynamic factor … on euro-area data show that the now- and forecasting performance of our new model is superior to that of the subset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011566828
This paper presents how scenario analysis techniques can be used for building financial models that are able to capture the dynamics of the underlying asset prices both in benign periods and in times of stress. The paper presents case studies for building pricing models for equity and FX...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111898
This paper presents a method and computational technology for forecasting ambulance trips. We used statistical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025379
. These seven scripts contain the Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) framework, Instantaneous Frequency Forecasting (IFF …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014253907