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The financial crisis 2008-2009 and the European sovereign debt crisis have shown that stress on financial markets is important for analyzing and forecasting economic activity. Since financial stress is not directly observable but is presumably reflected in many financial market variables, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286071
The financial crisis 2008-2009 and the European sovereign debt crisis have shown that stress on financial markets is important for analyzing and forecasting economic activity. Since financial stress is not directly observable but is presumably reflected in many financial market variables, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365865
In this paper, we develop a financial stress index for France that can be used as a real-time composite indicator for the state of financial stability in France. We take 17 financial variables from different market segments and extract a common stress component using a dynamic approximate factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886871
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009271140
. -- Financial stress index ; Financial Systems ; Recessions ; Slowdowns ; Financial Crises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009721786
. -- Forecasting ; Financial stress indicator ; Financial Systems ; Recessions ; Slowdowns ; Financial Crises …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009382999
This paper provides an overview of the evolution of macroeconomic thought from 1936, the year John Maynard Keynes published his general theory of employment, interest and money to the year 2010. It explores the reasons for the extension of the business cycle during the postwar period. The paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009293018
This paper analyzes the causes and implications of recent financial crises. Financial crises in general lead to changes in both theory and practice of economics. The paper takes an historical overview. The global consensus of economic theory during the 20th century is discussed. The paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009145755
open economy model subject to the risk of sudden stops—large recessions together with abrupt reversals in capital inflows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011779580
Never before has finance been regarded with the suspicion of these past three years. Yet money and credit are part of what enabled human beings to overcome the barbarism of immanence, the savagery of a life ruled by consumption for survival. The critical rethinking of finance involves the very...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008683493