We study the impact of anticipated fiscal policy changes in the Ramsey economy when agents form expectations using adaptive learning. We extend the existing framework by distortionary taxes as well as elastic labour supply, which makes agents' decisions non-predetermined but more realistic. We...

The paper discusses the utilization of social complexity studies to enhance our understanding on many social phenomena. The discussions brings the concept of uncertainty in almost everything of social realms and makes some points related to the empirical findings of the power-law distributions...

We present new results for the performance of Taylor rules in a New Keynesian model with heterogeneous expectations. Agents have either rational or adaptive expectations. We find that depending on the particular rule, expectational heterogeneity can create or increase the set of policies that...

The theoretical aspects of calendar effects and anomalies on the Ukrainian stock market and the empirical evidences of monthly returns and volatility of PFTS-index are examined. A strong evidence of a calendar effect i.e. December effect on Ukrainian PFTS exchange was found. It can be explained...

This paper uses cross-country data compiled immediately after the Fukushima nuclear accident to investigate how the experience of such disasters affects the perception of the risk of nuclear accidents. Estimation results show that the perceived risk of a nuclear accident is positively associated...

While much work in macroeconomics considers the formation of price expectations, there has been relatively little work analyzing wage expectations. This study develops models in which workers form expectations of average wages in choosing levels of effort and on-the-job search, under the...

In supply chain management, information about the downstream party's willingness to pay (wtp) for a service or a good sold by an upstream party may not be known to the latter. The seller has to make an educated guess for the price at which to offer a good or service. If the buyer refuses to buy,...

Abstract Labor market regulation and its relations with education and training have been performing an historical trajectory which closely intertwined with developments in economic thought. Under the form of human capital theories, neo-classical economics set the bridge between labor market...

Procrastination is the notorious tendency to postpone work for tomorrow. This paper presents a formal model of procrastination based on expectations and prospect theory, which differs signficantly from the prevalent model of O’Donoghue and Rabin. Subject is assumed to work on a task for...

Abstract. In the 1980s and at beginning of the 1990s the debate on expectation formation mechanism was dominated by the rational expectation hypothesis. Later on, more interest was directed towards alternative approaches to expectations analysis, mainly based on the bounded rationality paradigm...